NFL Betting Tips for New People: Key Guide
How to Get Point Spreads
Point spreads are key for NFL betting wins. If a team has a minus (-), it must win by more than that gap to cover. Teams with a plus (+) can lose by less than the gap or win it all. Big numbers like 3, 7, and 10 need more focus since they are common NFL score gaps. 먹튀검증 공식 추천 확인하기
Bankroll Rules
Use strict bankroll rules by keeping bets to 1-2% of your whole bet fund. This safe way stops big losses and lets for steady long-term growth. Track all bets with sheets or betting apps to see your bet ways.
Stats Plan
Look at key NFL stats that change game ends:
- Rush yards and how good they are
- How much the quarterback gets rushed
- Red zone change percents
- Third-down win rates
- Who gets the ball from turnovers
Watch Line Moves
Watch line moves close as they show smart bet ways. Pro bettors make big changes in spreads and totals. Know these moves to find good bet chances and possible big changes where many books change lines all at once.
More Betting Ideas
- See how home field changes things
- Look at weather for total score changes
- Look deep at injury news
- Check plan spots and rest ups
- See how refs call the game and the game speed
The base for good NFL betting means sticking to these main rules while always learning and changing your plans.
How Point Spreads Work
Point spreads show the guess of how much one team will win by
When a spread shows -7, the liked team must win by more than seven points for bets to pay out. The other team, marked at +7, can lose by up to six points and still count as a winning bet.
Big Stats and Past Trends
Stats show that liked teams win the spread about 49% of the time, while underdogs win about 51%.
The biggest NFL win gaps stick to 3, 7, and 10 points, changing how odds are set.
Key Points in Spread Checks
What to Think About for Betting
- Home-field mostly gives 3 points to the spread
- Player hurts change team plays and spread changes
- Weather changes game ends and bet values
Track Line Moves
Spread moves through the week give clues on bet ways
- A move from -7 to -9 shows a lot of action on the liked side
- Line moves to underdogs hint at smart money play
- Key number spreads (3, 7, 10) need more watch when checking moves
Know these parts to make better choices when looking at point spreads and bet chances.
Money Rule Basics
Good money rules mean using strict plans to keep and grow your money.
Having a separate bet fund starts the base of good money control. Only use money you can miss without hurting your main money safety.
How Unit Plans Work
The unit way is proven for keeping even bet sizes.
A usual unit is 1-2% of total bankroll value. With a $5,000 fund, good unit sizes are $50-100 per bet, helping to manage risk and keep your money safe.
Risk Rules to Follow
Controlled bet sizes are key for long stays in the game.
Don’t bet more to fix losses, as this often makes you lose more money fast. Keep to set bet sizes no matter how you did in past bets.
Track and Check How You Do
Orderly records of all bets, including when you got in, size, and ends, give key info for better plans.
Look at how you do each month to:
- See your bet ways
- Check if you’re following your risk rules
- See if your bet sizes stay the same
- Watch your whole bet health
This planned way to watch how you do lets you make smart changes and keep good money habits in your choices.
Know NFL Bet Lines
NFL bet lines show three key bet parts: point spreads, money lines, and over/under totals.
These parts give bettors needed info to make smart bet choices on pro football games.
How Point Spread Bets Work
Point spreads show how much a team is guessed to win by They use a minus (-) sign for likes and a plus (+) sign for underdogs. For example:
- Bills -7: Buffalo must win by more than 7 points
- Jets +7: New York can lose by up to 6 points or win it all
Moneyline Bets
Moneyline odds show straight-up win bets in relation to $100:
- Negative odds (-150): Bet $150 to win $100 on likes
- Positive odds (+130): Bet $100 to win $130 on underdogs
These odds change with how much you bet.
Over/Under (Totals) Bets
The over/under line shows the guessed total score from both teams:
- Over: Total score must be more than the posted number
- Under: Total score must be less than the posted number
Reading Lines Well
Good NFL bet plans mean you know line moves, check stat ways, and find good bet chances in different markets.
Pro bettors look at past game data and team matches when they check bet lines.
Common Bet Types
The sports bet world has five main bet types that rule NFL betting: point spreads, money lines, totals, parlays, and prop bets.
Point Spreads
Point spreads are the top NFL bet type, where bettors pick teams to win by set gaps.
For example, when the Kansas City Chiefs are set at -7 against the Las Vegas Raiders, the Chiefs must win by more than seven points for a winning bet. This leveling system makes the game fair for likes and underdogs.
Moneylines and Totals
Moneyline betting gives easy team win bets without point worries.
In the meantime, totals betting (over/under) focuses on the total end score, letting bettors guess if the total points will be more or less than the book’s guessed number.
Parlays and Props
Parlay betting mixes more picks into one bet, giving better odds but needing all picks to be right. For example, mixing a Chiefs spread with a Bills money line makes a bigger risk, bigger win chance.
Prop betting aims at certain game events and player acts, like if a quarterback throws over 250 yards or a running back scores. These special bets add more fun to betting while giving smart players unique chances.
Plan Your Bets Right
Each bet type offers different risk-reward chances.
While spread bets and moneyline wagers are base single-game choices, props and parlays give more fun and bigger win chances, but with higher risks. Knowing these things is key for making good bet plans.
Check Teams and Players
Better stat checks make the base of winning NFL bets. Main stats are yards per game, third-down change rates, red zone how well they do, and who gets the ball from turnovers.
Watch hurt news, weather looks, and past game info to get full views.
Check How Teams Do
Offensive line stats and how much they rush the quarterback show how games might end.
Focus on quarterback rush numbers, how far receivers get away, and yards after touch for running backs. These deep stats show good bet chances more than just win-lose numbers.
Better Team Check Parts
- How teams do at home or away
- How they do in their group
- How they do against different defenses
- How coaches plan
- How they change what they do in games
- How changes in the team affect the game
Prop Bets and Deep Stat Checks
How much a player is in the game, how often they are used in certain plays, and how they are used in different game parts give good info for prop bets.
Check these numbers with how they do against certain defenses and new plan changes to find good bet chances.
See how players do against certain defenses and cover plans.
Main Check Parts:
- How often they get the ball in the red zone
- How much they run set plays
- How coaches call plays
- How they do in certain setups
- What defense teams use
- How special teams change the game
Check Situations and Matchups
Watch how teams score, how they change their plans, and how they depend on game setups.
Look at how teams plan against others and how they switch their defense ways.
Add weather checks and field looks for a full game check.
Weather and Field Facts
How Weather Changes Games
Weather ways and air facts change how NFL games end, making good bet chances.
Wind over 15 mph hits passing and kicking success a lot.
Big rain cuts scoring by 3-4 points per team, while snow can cut attack work by up to 20%
How to Bet on Weather
Good bet checks mean watching many weather looks 24-48 hours before game time.
Big parts to watch are rain chances, wind ways, and air changes.
While inside places cut out weather parts, places like Lambeau Field, Soldier Field, and Heinz Field bring big tests in late-season games.
Field Facts and How Teams Do
What they play on changes how games work. Natural grass or fake grass change how teams do, with fast teams often doing better on fake grass.
Place fixes and how well the field is kept change how players move and how fast the game is.
Past info shows quarterback success rates go down about 7% in strong winds over 20 mph, making good chances for under bets.
Watch Line Moves
How Line Moves Work
Sports betting line moves give key views into market ways and bet values.
Pro bettors see how odds change from start lines to game time, with early moves often showing smart money use.
These line changes serve as main hints for finding good bet chances.
Signs of Opposite Line Moves
Opposite line moves are a strong way to find smart money spots.
When many bet on one side but the line moves the other way, it shows pro betting ways.
For example, a line changing from -7 to -6 despite a lot of action on the liked side hints at big smart moves on the underdog.
Key Numbers and Market Checks
NFL key numbers (3, 7, 10) need more focus when watching line moves.
Pro bettors use special line move tools and betting numbers data to find good ways.
Outside parts like hurt news, weather facts, and new info make the market jump that smart bettors can use. The Legal Landscape of Online Sports Betting
Better Move Plans
Winning bettors mix line move checks with:
- Real-time market watch
- Public bet numbers checks
- Smart money find
- Key number line watch
- News value checks
